Deal Desk · all-in-one

One deal, end to end.

Name the deal, gather the facts, triage it, size it, and see the honest odds — then log it. The triage tier flows straight into the sizing and the outcome ranges. It can't tell you which startup wins; it makes you reject the junk, size sanely, and stay diversified.

Educational tool, not investment advice. Not from a licensed advisor. A browser can't query the SEC directly — gather facts with the EDGAR script or the filing itself, then enter them here. Probability bands are illustrative asset-class base rates nudged by tier, NOT a forecast for any company. Most individual deals lose money and are illiquid for years.

1Deal workspace

Enter the deal name and the facts you gathered from its SEC filing (Form C / offering circular) or the EDGAR script. This is your scratchpad — nothing is looked up automatically.

Company / deal name

Valuation / cap ($)

Lifetime revenue ($)

Security type

# prior crowd rounds

Notes — moat, team, partnerships, red flags

Tip: a valuation many multiples above revenue, with no priced lead and several prior crowd rounds, usually trips Gate 1 and Gate 4 in the next step.

2Auto-reject gates

Flip ON every red flag. Any single one = REJECT. Most deals die here — that's the point.

2Score the survivors

Only meaningful if it cleared every gate. Rate each 0 (absent) to 3 (strong/proven).

3Your foundation & sleeve

Investable assets ($)

Already in sleeve ($)

Whole-sleeve cap (% of assets)

Deals you'll spread across

Platform minimum ($)

ASingle-deal outcome range

Odds for this one check at the triage tier from Step 2. The bands shift with the score — the floor of risk never disappears.

Loss Break-even Win

BPortfolio projection (the honest range)

One deal is a coin flip; a book of deals is forecastable. Simulated across many checks at this tier.

4Your deal sleeve